Volta Redonda vs. Avaí: A 1-1 Draw in Brazil's Serie B – Data-Driven Breakdown

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Volta Redonda vs. Avaí: A 1-1 Draw in Brazil's Serie B – Data-Driven Breakdown

Volta Redonda vs. Avaí: A Tactical Stalemate in Serie B

Team Backgrounds

Volta Redonda, founded in 1976 and based in Rio de Janeiro, has a modest but passionate fanbase. Known for their gritty defensive play, they’ve historically punched above their weight in regional competitions. This season, they’ve been inconsistent, hovering around mid-table with a mix of narrow wins and frustrating draws.

Avaí, hailing from Florianópolis (founded in 1923), boasts a richer history, including multiple top-flight campaigns. Their current Serie B campaign has been defined by solid away form but a lack of cutting edge upfront—something that haunted them again here.

Match Highlights

The game kicked off at 22:30 local time on June 17, 2025, and ended just past midnight after a tense 1-1 draw. Volta Redonda took an early lead through a set-piece header (their specialty), only for Avaí to equalize via a deflected long-range effort in the second half. Both teams had chances to win it late—xA (expected goals) metrics suggest Avaí edged the quality of opportunities (1.4 vs. 1.1), but neither could capitalize.

Data Dive

  • Defensive Discipline: Volta Redonda’s compact 4-4-2 limited Avaí to just 0.08 xG per shot—a testament to their organized blocks.
  • Midfield Battle: Avaí’s midfield trio completed 82% of their passes but struggled to progress the ball vertically against Volta’s press.
  • Fan Impact: The 12,000-strong crowd at Estádio Raulino de Oliveira created a raucous atmosphere, arguably influencing the referee’s leniency (only 2 yellow cards issued).

What’s Next?

For Volta Redonda, tightening up late-game focus is critical—they’ve dropped 7 points from winning positions this season. Avaí must address their away finishing; their striker’s 3 big misses this game dragged their xG underperformance to -2.8 for the season. Up next? A brutal fixture against league leaders CRB. Expect more low-block heroics or another ‘what-if’ story.

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