Bakit Umalis si Thomas?

by:DataDanNYC•1 buwan ang nakalipas
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Bakit Umalis si Thomas?

Ang Mitol ng Emotional Transfer

Ang mga headline ay sumisigaw: “Umalis si Thomas. Norwood ang susunod.” Pero ang spreadsheet ay hindi naglalies.

Nagsipag-aral ako ng mga transfer log—kontrato, age curve, at capex model—hindi tabloid. Kapag sabi ng media “gunner有意布伦特福德队长诺尔高,” hindi ito romance—it’s regression noise.

Ano ang Nakikita ng Model Kung ano ang Hindi Nakikita ng Tao

Norwood: 31 taong gulang. 2019–2024: 87 appearance para sa Brentford. Ito ay statistical profile, hindi romantic arc.

Ginamit ko ang R at SQL para i-cross-reference ang ELO ratings, xG stats, at expiration dates sa 7 European leagues—ang market value nito ay $28M, walang emotional leakage.

Hindi sinunod ni Arsenal si Thomas dahil sa pagnanais—sinunod nila ang residual expected goal (REG). Matapos ang 30 taon, bumaba ang projected minutes per shot.

Ang Tahimik na Lakas ng Data-Driven Football

Lumaki ako sa isang Black mother at Jewish father—pinahuhusay ko ang lohika, hindi lore.

Sa Silicon Valley: Hindi namin sinasigna ang manlalaro batay sa “potential.” Sinasigna namin ito batay sa posterior probability distribution mula sa match-level telemetry.

Hindi gustong ibigin ni Brentford si Norwood—he priced correctly. At kapag tumingin ni Arsenal? Nakita nila ang parehong model na ginamit ko para makapredict si Lille’s loss sa Basel.

Hindi ito tungkol sa emosyon. Ito ay entropy reduction sa paggawa ng desisyon ilalim sa kawalan.

Bayesian Football Analytics
Norwood Data Model
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DataDanNYC

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Mainit na komento (2)

LukaDncic_789
LukaDncic_789LukaDncic_789
1 buwan ang nakalipas

Bakit left si Thomas? Di naman siya nagpapakita ng damdamin—nagpapakita lang ng probabilities! Ang 31-year-old midfielder ay mas maraming data kaysa sa love letters. Nag-analyze niya ang respiratory frequency habang umuupod sa ulan… Bakit ba ‘wala’ na siya? Kasi nagsasabi ang algorithm: ‘His contract expired sa Q3.’ 😅 Sino ang may ganern na magpa-estimate ng next transfer? Comment mo na: ‘Nakaka-alarm ba yung xG mo?’

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นักวิเคราะห์บอลดั้งเดิม
นักวิเคราะห์บอลดั้งเดิมนักวิเคราะห์บอลดั้งเดิม
1 buwan ang nakalipas

โธมัสหนีไป? แต่แอสเซนล์ยังคิดว่าเขาจะยิงด้วยความรัก? อันที่จริงคืออัลกอริทึมตัดสินใจ… เขาไม่ได้เลิกเพราะรัก แต่เพราะตัวเลขบอกว่า ‘โอกาสชนะ = 0’! เห็นไหม? เขามีอายุ 31 ปี… และเคยลงสนามมาแล้ว 87 เกม! เงินเดือนละ $28M — มันแพงกว่าข้าหมากในวัด! #ถ้าไม่มีอัลกอริทึม… ก็แค่พนันธรรมดา 😅

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Nico Williams