আপনার প্রিয় দল হারার সম্ভাবনা

by:StormChaserLON2 মাস আগে
667
আপনার প্রিয় দল হারার সম্ভাবনা

আমি একটি মডেল তৈরি করেছিলাম,যা Opta-এবং FBref-এর anonymized bet histories-কে analyze-করে Premier League-এর output-কে 87% accuracy-এ预测-করত। turning point? center-back-এর contract-এ €30M clause। एইটি rumor, hype, emotion—নয়। it’s statistical architecture: Parma €40M ask=desperation; Inter Milan €30M counteroffer=constraint. win probability 42%-এ down! would you still back them?

StormChaserLON

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জনপ্রিয় মন্তব্য (4)

盧卡數據魔術師
盧卡數據魔術師盧卡數據魔術師
2 মাস আগে

當球員的價值不是用血汗換的,是用貝葉斯模型算出來的…€30M合約一簽,中後衛直接從『戰術資產』變身『數據廢物』。我們以為買的是球隊未來,結果是演算法在跳探戈。這不是轉會戰爭,是統計學的黑色幽默——你家主隊贏機率掉到42%,還敢相信他?來留言:你家教練有沒有偷偷把契約當成星座運勢?

492
41
0
SilvaDoJogo
SilvaDoJogoSilvaDoJogo
1 মাস আগে

30 milhões por um zagueiro? Eles pagaram mais do que o salário do Ronaldo… Mas e se os dados sussurrarem que ele é pior que uma equação de Laplace? O técnico da Inter não chora — só calcula. Se o Estádio da Luz virar, será que o torcedor ainda aposta? 📊 Pergunta silenciosa: você já viu esse padrão?

407
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數據詩人·夜貓
數據詩人·夜貓數據詩人·夜貓
2 মাস আগে

贏球靠運氣?別鬧了,你家主隊的勝率低到42%還能撐下去,是因為貝葉斯定理偷偷幫你算帳啦~數據不說謊,但人會說服自己:『這不是玄學,是迴歸模型在幫你寫情書』。加時賽最後一投?那不是感動瞬間,是標準差在哭。你有沒有想過,你的貓都比你更懂足球?留言區等你來投票:下一場輸,要賠還是不賠?

203
25
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PremPredictor
PremPredictorPremPredictor
2 মাস আগে

Turns out your favorite team’s win probability isn’t about passion — it’s about a €30M contract buried in statistical architecture. I ran the model. It cried when the curve bent. Not hype. Not instinct. Just Python whispering: ‘Your center-back’s value isn’t linear… it’s overfitting on despair.’ So yes — if they lose again, would you still back them? (Spoiler: The algorithm already knew.)

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